What we are seeing are all sorts of new technologies coming at us faster and faster with greater and greater power, and that is particularly hard for organizations that are conventional in their form and design – and sometimes their thinking – to adapt to. And we see that its advance is not linear, it is exponential it’s not additive, it is multiplying upon itself. Technology has encapsulated everything from Moore’s Law, when we’re talking about computing power chips, to the Law of Accelerating Returns, which considers technology’s impact on everything from business to battlefield rifles. I think the fast pace of technologic change is our biggest challenge right now. ![]() Whether it is a stone or a drone, it is simply a tool that we apply to a task. If we use it every day, we don’t call it technology any more. I like to paraphrase musician Brian Eno, who essentially said, technology is the name we give to things that we don’t use every day. military four-star put it to me, “technology doesn’t matter in the human-centric wars we fight.” That assumes a definition of technology as something that is exotic and unworkable. It has become fashionable recently for leaders to argue that one of the lessons of the last decade of war is that, as one U.S. To borrow from Homer Simpson’s comment on alcohol, is technology the cause of, and solution to, all of the military’s problems? navy ship captains, to fighter pilots, special operators, Chinese generals, and Anonymous hackers. Navy electromagnetic railgun, to vulnerabilities that are being baked into the Joint Strike Fighter, to interviews with the people who would fight in such a war, from U.S. It ranged from gathering information on the latest Chinese unmanned systems prototypes to U.S. It is framed in terms of that scenario but the research for it is really about wrestling with what are the key technologies and trends that might shape future wars. The book is a look at what would happen if the brewing cold war with Russia and China ever were to turn hot. ![]() Technology’s dilemmas: Are we wired to respond?
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